Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.007925 0.008917 0.010003 0.011280 0.012745 0.014378 0.016340
2025-01-05 0.006585 0.007989 0.009660 0.011808 0.014514 0.017834 0.022250
2025-01-12 0.005481 0.006973 0.008848 0.011401 0.014823 0.019301 0.025689
2025-01-19 0.004738 0.006259 0.008255 0.011102 0.015116 0.020658 0.029043
2025-01-26 0.004270 0.005827 0.007950 0.011103 0.015752 0.022488 0.033239
2025-02-02 0.004045 0.005690 0.008013 0.011599 0.017116 0.025491 0.039571
2025-02-09 0.003703 0.005343 0.007728 0.011533 0.017606 0.027203 0.044092
2025-02-16 0.003458 0.005111 0.007581 0.011645 0.018364 0.029400 0.049706
2025-02-23 0.003183 0.004802 0.007283 0.011477 0.018631 0.030796 0.054101
2025-03-02 0.003012 0.004638 0.007192 0.011630 0.019439 0.033194 0.060653
2025-03-09 0.002813 0.004412 0.006977 0.011545 0.019814 0.034854 0.066038
2025-03-16 0.002560 0.004078 0.006557 0.011063 0.019418 0.035035 0.068488
2025-03-23 0.002400 0.003892 0.006380 0.011015 0.019856 0.036928 0.074959
2025-03-30 0.002346 0.003882 0.006506 0.011531 0.021433 0.041289 0.087594
2025-04-06 0.002155 0.003618 0.006162 0.011134 0.021172 0.041870 0.091827
2025-04-13 0.001998 0.003403 0.005889 0.010844 0.021086 0.042802 0.097043
2025-04-20 0.001897 0.003280 0.005772 0.010845 0.021600 0.045095 0.106009
2025-04-27 0.001868 0.003285 0.005891 0.011327 0.023194 0.050030 0.122708
2025-05-04 0.001772 0.003158 0.005751 0.011263 0.023581 0.052226 0.132606
2025-05-11 0.001704 0.003080 0.005697 0.011373 0.024369 0.055494 0.146176
2025-05-18 0.001611 0.002947 0.005523 0.011209 0.024504 0.057160 0.155474
2025-05-25 0.001558 0.002888 0.005494 0.011357 0.025395 0.060879 0.171783
2025-06-01 0.001486 0.002785 0.005367 0.011275 0.025714 0.063150 0.184111